Markus P
Markus P is outperforming the model expectation. The gap is +38.71 points over expected across 211 matches, or +0.18 per match. The clearest positive signal is underdog performance. Legacy score blends ELO, overperformance, momentum and sample size into a longer-view manager value.
1 Clubs
320 Matches
173 / 71 / 76 W / D / L
54.1% Win rate
1,687 (3/8)Manager FML ELO
1,898 · 24.11.2022 All-time Peak ELO
1,492 · 27.10.2018 Lowest ELO
Current ranking Rating activity
+38.71 pts (#3) Points over expected
430.0 / 391.3 Actual / expected pts
+0.18 / match (#4) Resource efficiency
1,717 (#4) Legacy score
16 · +2.82 Underdog POE
117 · +30.02 Favourite POE
-52 · Cold · 10/10 Manager Momentum
1,768 (2/8) Club Team Power
€-195.445m Net spend
Current Club Fixtures & Results
Upcoming Fixtures
AC Guastafesta
vs
Holy Glory Hunters Suspensions
Vinícius Júnior
red card from 25.10.2025 - Superleague: MantrapapaDios (MAD) vs AC Guastafesta (ACG)
ACG Unavailable
-
HGH
FML Bet Preview
Predictions
3.18
ACG win
Fair odds
2.29
HGH win
1.28
ACG
Expected goals
1.55
HGH
21%
ACG
Clean sheet
28%
HGH
54%
Over
Over / Under 2.5
46%
Under
57%
Yes
BTTS
43%
No
Match Read
Holy Glory Hunters (HGH) carries the model edge, but the probabilities still come from the full score distribution rather than a single rating gap. Most likely score is 1-1 (12%), with Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes as the main market leans. The key matchup is balanced: neither attack-versus-defence lane clearly separates. Upset alert: underdog win probability is still live.
Slight edge · Holy Glory Hunters (HGH) · Upset alert: underdog win probability is still live.
Holy Glory Hunters (HGH) carries the model edge, but the probabilities still come from the full score distribution rather than a single rating gap. Most likely score is 1-1 (12%), with Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes as the main market leans. The key matchup is balanced: neither attack-versus-defence lane clearly separates. Upset alert: underdog win probability is still live.
Slight edge · Holy Glory Hunters (HGH) · Upset alert: underdog win probability is still live.
Season Statistics
1,709 (2/8)
AC Guastafesta
FML ELO
1,745 (1/8)
Holy Glory Hunters
4
Matches
3
5
Goals scored
7
1.25
Goals per game
2.33
6
Goals conceded
6
0
Clean sheets
0
0.75
Points / match
2.00
H2H & Form
1
ACG
H2H wins
2
HGH
H2H draws
2 draws · Last 5 competitive
3
ACG
H2H goals · Last 5 competitive
6
HGH
0-4-1 · D D L D D · 0.80 PPG
ACG
Recent form
3-1-1 · L W W D W · 2.00 PPG
HGH
112.8 (1/8)
ACG attack
Attack vs defence
117.0 (1/8)
HGH defence
113.5 (2/8)
ACG defence
Defence vs attack
111.5 (2/8)
HGH attack
1
ACG
Latest H2H · 28.04.2025
1
HGH
AC Guastafesta
vs
Ladrões de Sonhos Suspensions
Vinícius Júnior
red card from 25.10.2025 - Superleague: MantrapapaDios (MAD) vs AC Guastafesta (ACG)
ACG Unavailable
-
LDS
FML Bet Preview
Predictions
1.44
ACG win
Fair odds
7.76
LDS win
2.34
ACG
Expected goals
0.91
LDS
40%
ACG
Clean sheet
10%
LDS
63%
Over
Over / Under 2.5
37%
Under
54%
Yes
BTTS
46%
No
Match Read
AC Guastafesta (ACG) carries the model edge, but the probabilities still come from the full score distribution rather than a single rating gap. Most likely score is 2-0 (11%), with Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes as the main market leans. The key matchup leans to ACG's attack against LDS's defensive profile. Low upset signal from the current model.
Strong favorite · AC Guastafesta (ACG) · Low upset signal from the current model.
AC Guastafesta (ACG) carries the model edge, but the probabilities still come from the full score distribution rather than a single rating gap. Most likely score is 2-0 (11%), with Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes as the main market leans. The key matchup leans to ACG's attack against LDS's defensive profile. Low upset signal from the current model.
Strong favorite · AC Guastafesta (ACG) · Low upset signal from the current model.
Season Statistics
1,709 (2/8)
AC Guastafesta
FML ELO
1,452 (7/8)
Ladrões de Sonhos
4
Matches
4
5
Goals scored
7
1.25
Goals per game
1.75
6
Goals conceded
7
0
Clean sheets
1
0.75
Points / match
1.50
H2H & Form
3
ACG
H2H wins
0
LDS
H2H draws
1 draws · Last 4 competitive
10
ACG
H2H goals · Last 4 competitive
3
LDS
0-4-1 · D D L D D · 0.80 PPG
ACG
Recent form
2-1-2 · L W L W D · 1.40 PPG
LDS
112.8 (1/8)
ACG attack
Attack vs defence
98.3 (7/8)
LDS defence
113.5 (2/8)
ACG defence
Defence vs attack
104.6 (6/8)
LDS attack
2
ACG
Latest H2H · 17.04.2024
1
LDS
Recent Results
MantrapapaDios
1
1
AC Guastafesta Events
Kylian Mbappé
Pedri
Álex Balde
Nico Williams
Álex Balde
Mohammed Kudus
Vinícius Júnior
No Pirlo No Party
2
2
AC Guastafesta Events
Sadio Mané
Álvaro García
Erling Haaland
Vinícius Júnior
Isi Palazón
Erling Haaland
Gavi
Erling Haaland
Thierry Correia
Sadio Mané
Carlos Baleba
Gavi
AC Guastafesta
1
2
Zorro Blanco Events
Erling Haaland
Lionel Messi
Lionel Messi
Vinícius Júnior
Rodri
Jamal Musiala
Lionel Messi
Gavi
T. Alexander-Arnold
AC Guastafesta
1
1
Demon Bulls Events
Carlos Baleba
Ousmane Dembélé
Cody Gakpo
Alisson
Holy Glory Hunters
1
1
AC Guastafesta Events
Alexander Isak
Erling Haaland
A. Mac Allister
Alphonso Davies
Alphonso Davies
Manuel Ugarte
Demon Bulls
3
3
AC Guastafesta Events
Victor Boniface
Victor Boniface
Cody Gakpo
Erling Haaland
Erling Haaland
Erling Haaland
Cody Gakpo
Tijjani Reijnders
Franck Kessié
Vinícius Júnior
Vinícius Júnior
Alphonso Davies
Cody Gakpo
Piero Hincapié
Fikayo Tomori
Awards
| Award | Season | Competition | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plus Cup Winner | 23/24 | 23/24 Plus Cup | 1 · Winner |
| Super Shield Winner | 22/23 | 22/23 Super Shield | 1 · Winner |
| Back-to-Back Champion | 22/23 | 22/23 Super Shield | Super Shield |
| League Cup Apertura Winner | 21/22 | 21/22 League Cup (Apertura) | 1 · Winner |
| Back-to-Back Champion | 21/22 | 21/22 League Cup (Apertura) | League Cup Apertura |
| Super Shield Winner | 21/22 | 21/22 Super Shield | 1 · Winner |
| League Cup Apertura Winner | 20/21 | 20/21 League Cup (Apertura) | 1 · Winner |
Recent Manager Rating History
| Date | Team | Opponent | Result | Before | Change | After | Expected | Pts / xPts / POE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2025 | AC Guastafesta (ACG) | Tommi L · MantrapapaDios (MAD) | 1-1 D | 1,695 | -8 | 1,687 | 83.3% | 1.0 / 2.35 · -1.35 · Favourite |
| 25.10.2025 | AC Guastafesta (ACG) | Mikko K · No Pirlo No Party (NOP) | 2-2 D | 1,702 | -7 | 1,695 | 77.7% | 1.0 / 2.14 · -1.14 · Favourite |
| 25.10.2025 | AC Guastafesta (ACG) | Lauri L · Zorro Blanco (ZOB) | 1-2 L | 1,717 | -15 | 1,702 | 63.2% | 0.0 / 1.79 · -1.79 · Balanced |
| 25.10.2025 | AC Guastafesta (ACG) | Harri · Demon Bulls (DEB) | 1-1 D | 1,718 | -1 | 1,717 | 54.0% | 1.0 / 1.87 · -0.87 · Favourite |
| 28.04.2025 | AC Guastafesta (ACG) | Niko H · Holy Glory Hunters (HGH) | 1-1 D | 1,715 | +3 | 1,718 | 38.5% | 1.0 / 1.34 · -0.34 · Balanced |
| 21.03.2025 | AC Guastafesta (ACG) | Harri · Demon Bulls (DEB) | 3-3 D | 1,716 | -1 | 1,715 | 54.5% | 1.0 / 1.92 · -0.92 · Favourite |
| 11.03.2025 | AC Guastafesta (ACG) | Tommi L · MantrapapaDios (MAD) | 2-1 W | 1,713 | +4 | 1,716 | 85.3% | 3.0 / 2.41 · +0.59 · Favourite |
| 03.02.2025 | AC Guastafesta U21 (ACU) | Niko H · Holy Glory Hunters U21 (HGU) | 0-7 L | 1,727 | -15 | 1,713 | 38.2% | 0.0 / 0.99 · -0.99 · Underdog |
| 31.01.2025 | AC Guastafesta U21 (ACU) | Tommi L · MantrapapaDios U21 (MAU) | 4-2 W | 1,723 | +4 | 1,727 | 84.9% | 3.0 / 1.62 · +1.38 · Balanced |
| 28.01.2025 | AC Guastafesta U21 (ACU) | Harri · Demon Bulls U21 (DEU) | 1-2 L | 1,739 | -16 | 1,723 | 66.0% | 0.0 / 1.23 · -1.23 · Balanced |
| 14.10.2024 | AC Guastafesta (ACG) | Harri · Demon Bulls (DEB) | 2-2 D | 1,743 | -4 | 1,739 | 66.5% | 1.0 / 2.00 · -1.00 · Favourite |
| 17.04.2024 | AC Guastafesta (ACG) | Mika H · Ladrões de Sonhos (LDS) | 2-1 W | 1,738 | +5 | 1,743 | 77.6% | 3.0 / 2.27 · +0.73 · Favourite |
Club History
| Club | From | To | Matches | W | D | L | Win % | Transfers | Net spend | Manager ELO | Manager Momentum | Club Team Power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Guastafesta | 20.09.2018 | Present | 320 | 173 | 71 | 76 | 54.1% | 540 | €-195.445m | 1,687 (3/8) | -52 · Cold · 10/10 | 1,768 (2/8) |
| Total | 320 | 173 | 71 | 76 | 54.1% | 540 | €-195.445m | 1,687 (3/8) | -52 · Cold · 10/10 | 1,768 (2/8) | ||